Spain and Argentina lead 2026 World Cup group stage odds as favourites emerge

Brazil carry the shortest odds of any group favourite at the 2026 World Cup, priced at -350 to win Group C, but Spain (-310 in Group H) and Argentina (-250 in Group J) are not far behind as the tournament’s draw takes shape ahead of the June kick-off.

The full 48-team field is now confirmed, and markets have opened across all twelve groups. In Group A, Mexico are narrow favourites at -110 over Czechia (+330) and South Korea (+350), while Switzerland (-125) are expected to lead Group B ahead of host nation Canada (+200).

Germany (-250) are the dominant force in Group E, with Ecuador the closest challenger at +370, and the Netherlands (-125) are slight favourites in Group F over a Japan side listed at +275. Belgium (-220) head Group G, and England (-280) are the strongest pick in Group L, where Croatia (+340) represent the most credible threat.

In Group D — the one featuring co-host United States — there is no clear runaway favourite. The USA are listed at +140, with Türkiye close behind at +175, making it one of the more open groups on paper.

France (-215) are favoured to top Group I ahead of Norway (+275), while Portugal (-215) face a stiffer internal challenge in Group K, where Colombia are priced at a competitive +240. Colombia’s odds reflect their status as one of the stronger South American sides outside the traditional elite.

At the other end of the spectrum, Haiti (+12000 in Group C) and Curaçao (+12000 in Group E) carry the longest odds of any side to win their respective groups, underlining the gulf in expectation between the tournament’s established powers and its debutants or smaller nations.

The 2026 World Cup will be co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico — the first edition to feature 48 teams and twelve groups — with the expanded format meaning three sides from each group advance alongside the best third-placed finishers.