Holloway opens as favourite over returning McGregor in UFC 329 Las Vegas rematch
Max Holloway is the betting favourite (-227) against Conor McGregor (+192) at UFC 329 on July 11 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with McGregor's five-year absence from competition cited as a key factor in the odds.
Max Holloway enters UFC 329 as a -227 betting favourite over Conor McGregor, despite losing their first meeting 13 years ago — a reflection, oddsmakers suggest, of McGregor’s five-year hiatus from competition. The long-awaited rematch headlines the July 11 card at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
UFC 329 carries no title bouts, but the card is stacked with high-stakes matchups across several weight classes. Alongside the main event, Benoit St. Denis (-135) meets Paddy Pimblett (+115) in a closely watched lightweight contest. St. Denis arrives on a four-fight finishing streak, while Pimblett is looking to rebound from the first loss of his UFC career.
In the bantamweight division, Cory Sandhagen (-140) faces Mario Bautista (+120) in a rematch with added history — Sandhagen handed Bautista his first professional defeat back in 2019. Sandhagen remains the favourite despite falling short in a title challenge last year.
Flyweight contender Brandon Royval (+186) faces Lone’er Kavanagh (-221), with Kavanagh installed as a heavy favourite following his impressive win over former champion Brandon Moreno in Mexico City. Royval enters the fight looking to snap a two-fight losing streak.
Olympic gold medalist Gable Steveson makes his UFC debut against Elisha Ellison as a staggering -3300 favourite — one of the largest betting lines in UFC history. A loss for Steveson would rank among the most shocking upsets the promotion has ever seen.
Elsewhere on the card, former bantamweight champion Cody Garbrandt (+350) faces Adrian Yanez (-450) in a clash of refined boxers, with Yanez heavily favoured. Luke Riley (-260) takes on Kai Kamaka III (+220) in a fight where Riley, in just his second UFC outing, holds a clear edge in the odds. King Green (+115) and Terrance McKinney (-135) round out the notable matchups, with the younger McKinney favoured but Green’s veteran experience and sharp boxing making him a credible threat.
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