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Kane leads Yamal and Mbappé in 2026 Ballon d'Or race

One month before the London ceremony on October 26, Harry Kane has emerged as the bookmakers' favourite thanks to 61 goals in 51 matches with Bayern Munich this season. Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé complete the podium of predictions.

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Kane leads Yamal and Mbappé in 2026 Ballon d'Or race
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Harry Kane is the clear favourite for the 2026 Ballon d’Or, according to trends observed among English bookmakers one month before the ceremony scheduled for October 26 in London, where Ousmane Dembélé’s successor will be named.

The Bayern Munich striker’s figures speak massively in his favour. During the 2025-2026 season, the England captain scored 61 goals in 51 matches with the Bavarian club, finishing as Europe’s top scorer. Adding his goals with the Three Lions, his total reaches 73 goals across all competitions. Despite these exceptional statistics, Kane has remained discreet on the subject of this individual distinction.

Behind him, Lamine Yamal occupies the second position in bookmakers’ projections, although his odds have recently declined. Kylian Mbappé completes the podium. The France captain, for his part, has adopted an opposite strategy: he has multiplied media appearances in recent weeks to defend his candidacy after a season without collective trophies.

Further down this hierarchy are Rodri, Lionel Messi, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé — the defending champion — and Fabian Ruiz, whose odds keep them for now outside the top three. The trends remain likely to evolve based on performances in the coming weeks before the verdict on October 26.

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